eCommerce Strategy

eCommerce market outlook 2026

Growth Strategy

Our Perspective on the BOF McKinsey State of Fashion 2026 report

Nov 18, 2025

Key insights based on the McKinsey State of Fashion 2026 report for future growth

Fashion in 2026: The Year Brands Reset, Rebuild, and Accelerate Global Growth

The newly released McKinsey State of Fashion 2026 report makes one thing clear: fashion’s future will be shaped by AI, experience-led commerce, and brands capable of building connected ecosystems that go beyond transactions.

The fashion industry is entering a defining moment.
After years of volatility, margin pressure, rising acquisition costs, and unpredictable consumer behavior, brands are no longer asking “How do we grow?” but a far more urgent question:

“How do we grow smarter?”

Fashion is shifting from speed to precision.
From campaigns to outcomes.
From discount-driven volume to value-driven loyalty.

And 2026 will be the first year where this shift becomes undeniable.


The 2026 Reality Check: A Market That Rewards Strategy, Not Noise

According to McKinsey’s analysis, 2026 will be defined by four macro forces:

1. The Productivity Imperative

AI, machine learning, and automation are no longer “innovation projects”, they are mandatory levers for margin recovery.

2. Consumer Value Reset

Shoppers are tightening budgets, demanding relevance, transparency, and better experiences.

3. Geographic Exposure

Brands concentrated in one region face higher risk and slower growth.

4. The Marketplace & Ecosystem Surge

Consumers increasingly discover, evaluate, and buy across multiple platforms.


Here’s What Fashion Leaders Need to Know

2026 will demand a different level of discipline from fashion brands. Not bigger budgets, not more campaigns, not broader assortments but smarter, sharper, more intentional growth choices.

Based on the McKinsey State of Fashion 2026 report, these are the five areas every fashion leader must align on:

  1. AI and Automation Must Drive Productivity

AI becomes a core operational capability in 2026.
The focus is shifting from experimentation to practical, revenue-driving use cases:
• predictive demand forecasting
• dynamic product recommendations
• automated content generation
• campaign optimization
• inventory intelligence

  1. Geographic Diversification Is Now a Growth Imperative

Reliance on a single region exposes brands to volatility. Recommendation is clear: selective international expansion outperforms category expansion.

This means entering:
• markets with rising demand
• markets with strong cross-border affinity
• marketplaces that reduce acquisition dependence
• regions where your unit economics hold

International scaling is a strategic hedge and one of the highest-impact growth levers for mid-market fashion brands.

  1. Value, Loyalty, and Experience Replace Discount-Led Volume

Consumers in 2026 are more cautious and more selective.
Winning brands will shift from constant promotions to:
• targeted, personalized offers
• loyalty mechanics
• emotional brand experiences
• curated, focused assortments
• storytelling instead of discounting

Margins strengthen when value increases.

  1. Agility Will Determine Survival in a Volatile Market

Fashion volatility is here to stay.
Leaders must build resilience through:
• shorter planning cycles
• faster merchandising reactions
• leaner assortments
• improved supply chain flexibility
• real-time insights driving decisions

The brands that adjust will gain structural advantage.

  1. Integrated Ecosystems Will Outperform Fragmented Channels

This requires aligning:
• D2C (your main brand home, regardless of platform)
• paid acquisition
• CRM & email
• marketplaces (Amazon, Zalando, etc.)
• influencer & content channels
• analytics & attribution

When channels work together, efficiency compounds, CAC decreases, and growth becomes predictable.

Insights by Axelwin

Our October blog post; 2026 outlook predicted two major shifts;

A) From Transactions to Experiences: The Discovery Era Arrives

Fashion eCommerce has evolved:
1. Buy (1st Gen): Intent-driven shopping (“I need black sneakers.”)
2. Find (2nd Gen): Curation (“Show me the best ones.”)
3. Discover (3rd Gen): Inspiration (“Let me explore your world.”)

Content + commerce + community = the new conversion engine.

This is where brands win loyalty without discounting.

B) The AI Revolution: Personalisation at Scale

AI is accelerating the future of fashion faster than expected.

By 2026, AI will deliver:
• predictive personalization
• conversational shopping assistants
• virtual try-ons and 3D fit technology
• intelligent merchandising
• scalable content creation
• real-time demand forecasting

Axelwin Point of View: The Future Belongs to Brands That Scale Across Borders

We believe the brands that will lead in 2026 will share three traits:
1. They think internationally from day one.
2. They treat commerce as an experience, not a transaction.
3. They connect their entire ecosystem into one engine.

This is the biggest opportunity in fashion’s new cycle.

FAQ: Fashion in 2026

Q1: What is the McKinsey State of Fashion 2026 report?

A global annual industry forecast analyzing macroeconomic trends, consumer shifts, and strategic priorities for fashion and retail leaders.

Q2: What are the key themes of fashion in 2026?

AI-driven productivity, value-focused consumers, geographic diversification, and integrated ecosystems.

Q3: How can fashion brands grow internationally in 2026?

By expanding into markets with rising demand, leveraging marketplaces, and localizing assortment, content, and pricing.

Q4: What role does AI play in fashion marketing by 2026?

It powers personalization, predictive analytics, content automation, demand forecasting, and better customer journeys.

Q5: What does experience-led commerce mean?

Building immersive digital journeys blending content, community, storytelling, and commerce.

Final Thought: 2026 Is a Reset and a Rare Opportunity for D2C Brands

The advantage now sits with brands that are willing to:

• simplify their product strategy

• sharpen their customer experience

• use AI to work smarter

• enter new markets with intention

• connect their channels into one clear growth engine

These are achievable shifts that unlock resilience, profitability, and long-term scaling power.



Insights by Axelwin